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Poll: Obamacare supporter Ellsworth failing to break into the 30’s against Coats.

Republican nominee Dan Coats continues to hold a commanding lead in Indiana’s U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Indiana finds Coats with a 50% to 29% lead over Democratic Congressman Brad Ellsworth. It’s Ellsworth’s poorest showing to date. Seven percent (7%) favor some other candidate in the race, but 14% remain undecided. A month ago, Coats was ahead of Ellsworth 51% to 30%. Coats has earned 46% to 54% of the vote in matchups with Ellsworth since February. Ellsworth has picked up 30% to 36% of the vote in those same surveys, but his support has been trending down since May. Just five percent (5%) of the state’s voters rate the economy as good or excellent. Sixty percent (60%) say it’s poor. Twenty-eight percent (28%) say the economy is getting better, but nearly half (49%) think it’s getting worse. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters who say the economy is getting better support Ellsworth. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of the larger group that think it’s getting worse favor Coats. Sixty-four percent (64%) believe the Bush tax cuts should be extended , well above the level of support nationally. Only 27% think those tax cuts should be allowed to expire as scheduled at the end of the year. Seventy percent (70%) of Indiana voters favor passage of an immigration law like Arizona’s in their own state. This, too, is higher than support among voters nationwide. Sixty-four percent (64%) say it’s better to allow individual states to deal with illegal immigration than to rely on the federal government. This compares to 53% nationally. (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Indiana was conducted on August 4, 5 and 7, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. Since Democratic Senator Evan Bayh’s surprise announcement in January that he would not seek reelection, Republicans have been strongly favored to pick up the Indiana seat. Indiana remains Solid GOP in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Coats, who previously represented Indiana in the Senate from 1989 to 1999, is viewed as a conservative by 67% of voters in the state. Fifty-one percent (51%) regard his views as mainstream, while 24% say they are extreme. Ellsworth is seen as liberal by 35% and moderate by another 27%. Thirty-four percent (34%) think his views are in the mainstream, while 31% view them as extreme. But a sizable number of voters don’t know enough about either candidate’s views to have an opinion. Coats has the support of 78% of Republicans in the state, while 65% of Indiana Democrats favor Ellsworth. Voters not affiliated with either major party prefer the Republican by a 53% to 12% margin. Fifteen percent (15%) of the state’s voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Coats, while 10% view him Very Unfavorably. Ellsworth is viewed Very favorably by nine percent (9%) and Very Unfavorably by 13%.

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